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REPORT · WTI v1· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 1
v1 · 2026-08-11
ARCHIVED VERSION

WTI crude oil $84.77 +1.21%

commodity · data as of 2026-08-11 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

WTI crude oil closed at $84.77 (+1.21% on the day). Over the last month it is +7.03%, over the last year +29.66%. It sits 26.02% below the 52-week high of $114.58 (52-week low $55.44).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v1
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

WTI crude oil closed at $84.77 (+1.21% on the day). Over the last month it is +7.03%, over the last year +29.66%. It sits 26.02% below the 52-week high of $114.58 (52-week low $55.44).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($77.74) and above the 50-day ($82.28) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.51, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 57.57% annualized, the 82th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $69.6 – $114.58; the most-touched level is $99.85 (12 touches).

1W
+9.62%
1M
+7.03%
1Y
+29.66%
FROM 52W HIGH
-26.02%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 39.26% (2026-04-07 → 2026-07-06); price now sits 26.02% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -16.07% (2026-04-08).

MAX DD 1Y
-39.26%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-26.02%
BEST DAY
+12.23%
WORST DAY
-16.07%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 51% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.48 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 26.02% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+7.03%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+29.66%).

Trading 26.02% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $77.74.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 82th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$84.77+1.21%CONSTRUCTIVE