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how the read evolved · 2 versions · 2026-08-112026-08-18
REPORT · WTI v2
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 2
v2 · 2026-08-18
CURRENT

WTI crude oil $86.48 +0.51%

commodity · data as of 2026-08-18 · computed, sourced, never predicted
live intraday view · chart by TradingView · the document below is computed from end-of-day data
00Executive summary

WTI crude oil closed at $86.48 (+0.51% on the day). Over the last month it is +2.49%, over the last year +35.8%. It sits 24.52% below the 52-week high of $114.58 (52-week low $55.44).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $84.77 → $86.48 (+2.02% since v1)2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v2 vs v1
  • · $84.77 → $86.48 (+2.02% since v1)
02Technicals

WTI crude oil closed at $86.48 (+0.51% on the day). Over the last month it is +2.49%, over the last year +35.8%. It sits 24.52% below the 52-week high of $114.58 (52-week low $55.44).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($78.33) and above the 50-day ($81.08) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.43, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 57.56% annualized, the 82th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $69.6 – $112.25; the most-touched level is $98.4 (12 touches).

1W
+2.02%
1M
+2.49%
1Y
+35.8%
FROM 52W HIGH
-24.52%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 39.26% (2026-04-07 → 2026-07-06); price now sits 24.52% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -16.07% (2026-04-08).

MAX DD 1Y
-39.26%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-24.52%
BEST DAY
+12.23%
WORST DAY
-16.07%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 51% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.26 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 24.52% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+2.49%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+35.8%).

Trading 24.52% below the 52-week high.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $78.33.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 82th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$86.48+0.51%CONSTRUCTIVE