S&P 500 7785.76 -0.17%

index · data as of 2026-08-14 · computed, sourced, never predicted

⚠ data-quality notice

This version was computed while a data-feed defect was live (missing observations parsed as zero — fixed 2026-08-18). Its numbers are preserved exactly as published, per the append-only contract; open the latest version for the corrected read.

00Executive summary

S&P 500 closed at 7785.76 (-0.17% on the day). Over the last month it is +3.34%, over the last year +20.12%. It sits 0.17% below the 52-week high of 7798.99 (52-week low 0).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07

01What changed — v2 vs v1

· first committed version — nothing to diff against yet

02Technicals

S&P 500 closed at 7785.76 (-0.17% on the day). Over the last month it is +3.34%, over the last year +20.12%. It sits 0.17% below the 52-week high of 7798.99 (52-week low 0).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (6768.34) and above the 50-day (7213.03) — trend strength (R², 90d) NaN, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is NaN% annualized, the 0th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range 0 – 7798.99; the most-touched level is 7383.59 (42 touches).

+0.36%

+3.34%

+20.12%

FROM 52W HIGH

-0.17%

03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 100% (2025-08-28 → 2025-09-01); price now sits 0.17% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -100% (2025-09-01).

MAX DD 1Y

-100%

FROM 1Y PEAK

-0.17%

BEST DAY

—

WORST DAY

-100%

04Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 57% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.45 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 0.17% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+3.34%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+20.12%).

Trading within 0.17% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes

· Dow loses more than 270 points as oil prices pressure stocks amid rising Iran tensions — cnbc.com · 2h ago
· Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq cement back-to-back declines despite strong second-quarter earnings; Anthropic revenue jumps; bond yields rise — MarketWatch · 2h ago
· Stock Market Today: Dow Slips; 30-Year Treasury Poised to Hit High — Live Updates — WSJ · 2h ago
· Markets News, Aug. 17, 2026: US Stocks Start Week Lower, Oil Prices Rise; Memory Shares Outperform — Investopedia · 4h ago
· Why the 'immaculate' stock market might not stay that way long — Yahoo Finance · 12h ago

07What would change this read

· The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 6768.34.
· The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 0th percentile).
· nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data