Microsoft $481.63 +0.27%
Microsoft closed at $481.63 (+0.27% on the day). Over the last month it is +19.72%, over the last year -6.67%. It sits 10.59% below the 52-week high of $538.66 (52-week low $352.83).
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
- · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
Microsoft closed at $481.63 (+0.27% on the day). Over the last month it is +19.72%, over the last year -6.67%. It sits 10.59% below the 52-week high of $538.66 (52-week low $352.83).
Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($430.74) and above the 50-day ($415.12) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.08, direction up.
Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 49.36% annualized, the 97th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.
Structure (90 days): range $352.83 – $506.06; the most-touched level is $391.67 (20 touches).
Relative: outperformed the S&P 500 by 16.38% over the last month (-25.93% over the year); 90-day beta 1.1, correlation 0.34.
Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 34.5% (2025-10-28 → 2026-06-25); price now sits 10.59% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -9.99% (2026-01-29).
Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2026-06-30): revenue $331.84B (+17.79% YoY), net income $133.75B (40.31% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 26.83. Source: SEC EDGAR.
Filed record: latest 10-K covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-07-29 (20 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-07-29 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.
latest 10-K · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-07-29 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-07-29
The tape leans constructive: 53% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior momentum.
Positioning: 1.77 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 10.59% from the all-time high of this series.
computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
The 1-month move (+19.72%) runs against the 1-year trend (-6.67%).
Trading 10.59% below the 52-week high.
analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead
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- · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $430.74.
- · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 97th percentile).
- · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now +16.38%) changes sign.
- · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 20 days old.
- · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
- · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data