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REPORT · GOLD v5· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 5
v5 · 2026-08-18
ARCHIVED VERSION

Gold $4,336 -1.88%

commodity · data as of 2026-08-18 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Gold closed at $4,336 (-1.88% on the day). Over the last month it is +7.82%, over the last year +2.86%. It sits 23.26% below the 52-week high of $5,651 (52-week low $3,945).

Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 07
01What changed — v5 vs v4
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

Gold closed at $4,336 (-1.88% on the day). Over the last month it is +7.82%, over the last year +2.86%. It sits 23.26% below the 52-week high of $5,651 (52-week low $3,945).

Note: priced via PAXG (tokenized gold), which tracks spot closely.

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($4,551) and above the 50-day ($4,150) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.16, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 21.05% annualized, the 59th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $3,945 – $4,585; the most-touched level is $4,029 (29 touches).

1W
-0.47%
1M
+7.82%
1Y
+2.86%
FROM 52W HIGH
-23.26%
03Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 28.07% (2026-01-28 → 2026-07-16); price now sits 21.75% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -10.13% (2026-01-30).

MAX DD 1Y
-28.07%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-21.75%
BEST DAY
+6.71%
WORST DAY
-10.13%
04Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 47% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.68 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 23.26% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

05Consensus read

Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.

The 1-month move (+7.82%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+2.86%).

Trading 23.26% below the 52-week high.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

06In the air — headlines, not causes
07What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $4,551.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 59th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$4,336-1.88%MIXED
Gold v5 — Living Report — PakupAI