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REPORT · GOLD v1· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 1
v1 · 2026-08-14
ARCHIVED VERSION

Gold $4,388 +0.72%

commodity · data as of 2026-08-14 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Gold closed at $4,388 (+0.72% on the day). Over the last month it is +8.23%, over the last year +4.23%. It sits 22.35% below the 52-week high of $5,651 (52-week low $3,945).

Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 06
01What changed — v1
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

Gold closed at $4,388 (+0.72% on the day). Over the last month it is +8.23%, over the last year +4.23%. It sits 22.35% below the 52-week high of $5,651 (52-week low $3,945).

Note: priced via PAXG (tokenized gold), which tracks spot closely.

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($4,569) and above the 50-day ($4,124) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.33, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 20.76% annualized, the 54th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $3,945 – $4,585; the most-touched level is $4,029 (29 touches).

1W
+1.34%
1M
+8.23%
1Y
+4.23%
FROM 52W HIGH
-22.35%
03Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 48% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.89 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 22.35% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

04Consensus read

Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.

The 1-month move (+8.23%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+4.23%).

Trading 22.35% below the 52-week high.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

05In the air — headlines, not causes
  • · Gold Price Outlook: Speed Bump Seems Unlikely to Deter Dip Mentality FOREX.com · 17h ago
  • · Gold Price Searches for a Higher Low – Analysis – 14-08-2026 Economies.com · 15h ago
  • · Current price of gold as of August 14, 2026 Fortune · 3h ago
  • · Gold prices today, Friday, August 14, 2026: Gold prices hold above $4,400 on softening inflation Yahoo Finance · 4h ago
  • · China gold market update: Strong official sector buying in July | Post by Ray Jia | Insights World Gold Council · 6h ago
06What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $4,569.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 54th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$4,388+0.72%MIXED