EUR/USD 1.16 +0.43%
EUR/USD closed at 1.16 (+0.43% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.17%, over the last year -0.79%. It sits 3.33% below the 52-week high of 1.2 (52-week low 1.13).
Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.
- · crossed BELOW the 200-day average (1.16)
- · market trend vote both-above → mixed
EUR/USD closed at 1.16 (+0.43% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.17%, over the last year -0.79%. It sits 3.33% below the 52-week high of 1.2 (52-week low 1.13).
Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average (1.16) and above the 50-day (1.15) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.65, direction sideways.
Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 4.6% annualized, the 10th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.
Structure (90 days): range 1.13 – 1.18; the most-touched level is 1.17 (72 touches).
Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 5.28% (2026-01-27 → 2026-06-24); price now sits 3.33% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -1.12% (2026-03-02).
The tape leans neutral: 50% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.
Positioning: 0.05 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 3.33% from the all-time high of this series.
computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys
Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.
The 1-month move (+1.17%) runs against the 1-year trend (-0.79%).
Trading within 3.33% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.
analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead
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- · US Dollar Price Forecast: Fed Minutes Loom as EUR/USD and GBP/USD Test Resistance — Yahoo Finance · 58h ago
- · Euro To Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Holds Below 1.1700 As Fed Hike Bets Fade — Exchange Rates UK · 7h ago
- · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at 1.16.
- · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 10th percentile).
- · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data