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REPORT · EURUSD v1· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 1
v1 · 2026-08-07
ARCHIVED VERSION

EUR/USD 1.16 +0.33%

fx · data as of 2026-08-07 · computed, sourced, never predicted

⚠ data-quality notice

This version was computed while a data-feed defect was live (missing observations parsed as zero — fixed 2026-08-18). Its numbers are preserved exactly as published, per the append-only contract; open the latest version for the corrected read.

00Executive summary

EUR/USD closed at 1.16 (+0.33% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.05%, over the last year -0.77%. It sits 3.51% below the 52-week high of 1.2 (52-week low 0).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 06
01What changed — v1
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

EUR/USD closed at 1.16 (+0.33% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.05%, over the last year -0.77%. It sits 3.51% below the 52-week high of 1.2 (52-week low 0).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (1.11) and above the 50-day (1.1) — trend strength (R², 90d) NaN, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is NaN% annualized, the 0th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range 0 – 1.18; the most-touched level is 1.16 (56 touches).

1W
+0.35%
1M
+1.05%
1Y
-0.77%
FROM 52W HIGH
-3.51%
03Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 53% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.18 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 3.51% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

04Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+1.05%) runs against the 1-year trend (-0.77%).

Trading within 3.51% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

05In the air — headlines, not causes
  • · Rabobank Euro To Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD May Be Stuck Here For Months Exchange Rates Org UK · 19h ago
  • · US Dollar Price Forecast: Will CPI Revive DXY as EUR/USD and GBP/USD Test Resistance? Yahoo Finance · 80h ago
  • · US Dollar Bounce Looks Vulnerable, EUR/USD Respects Resistance for Now FOREX.com · 28h ago
  • · EUR/USD Recovery Hinges on US CPI and the 1.1680 Resistance Level Investing.com · 69h ago
  • · Dollar Is Giving EUR/USD Every Chance to Rally. So What’s Holding Euro Back? Action Forex · 34h ago
06What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 1.11.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 0th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
1.16+0.33%CONSTRUCTIVE