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REPORT · ETH v4· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 4
v4 · 2026-08-17
ARCHIVED VERSION

Ethereum $1,914 +2%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-17 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Ethereum closed at $1,914 (+2% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.11%, over the last year -38.75%. It sits 44.49% below the 52-week high of $3,447 (52-week low $1,506).

Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.

latest change — $1,899 → $1,914 (+0.77% since v5)3 invalidation conditions stated — section 08
01What changed — v4 vs v3
  • · $1,899 → $1,914 (+0.77% since v5)
02Technicals

Ethereum closed at $1,914 (+2% on the day). Over the last month it is +1.11%, over the last year -38.75%. It sits 44.49% below the 52-week high of $3,447 (52-week low $1,506).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($2,009) and above the 50-day ($1,845) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 25.09% annualized, the 5th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $1,506 – $2,158; the most-touched level is $1,867 (19 touches).

1W
+1.8%
1M
+1.11%
1Y
-38.75%
FROM 52W HIGH
-44.49%
03Relative performance

Relative: lagged the Bitcoin by 0.11% over the last month (-9.95% over the year); 90-day beta 1.26, correlation 0.88.

1M VS BITCOIN
-0.11%
1Y RELATIVE
-9.95%
BETA 90D
1.26
CORR 90D
0.88
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 53.27% (2026-01-14 → 2026-06-25); price now sits 42.96% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -14.96% (2026-02-05).

MAX DD 1Y
-53.27%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-42.96%
BEST DAY
+12.95%
WORST DAY
-14.96%
05Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 50% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.59 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 61.39% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 41 (Fear), 7-day average 32.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

06Consensus read

Price is between its 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's short- and long-horizon votes disagree.

The 1-month move (+1.11%) runs against the 1-year trend (-38.75%).

Trading 44.49% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

07In the air — headlines, not causes
08What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $2,009.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 5th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the Bitcoin (now -0.11%) changes sign.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$1,914+2%MIXED
Ethereum v4 — Living Report — PakupAI