Ethereum $2,253 +17.46%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-19 · computed, sourced, never predicted

00Executive summary

Ethereum closed at $2,253 (+17.46% on the day). Over the last month it is +17.9%, over the last year -32.23%. It sits 33.8% below the 52-week high of $3,403 (52-week low $1,506).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $1,918 → $2,253 (+17.46% since v5)3 invalidation conditions stated — section 08

01What changed — v6 vs v5

· $1,918 → $2,253 (+17.46% since v5)
· crossed ABOVE the 200-day average ($2,004)
· volatility regime quiet → normal (64th pct)
· short-horizon behavior no clear_bias → momentum
· 1-month read vs Bitcoin flipped: -1.5% → +9.54%
· market trend vote mixed → both-above

02Technicals

Ethereum closed at $2,253 (+17.46% on the day). Over the last month it is +17.9%, over the last year -32.23%. It sits 33.8% below the 52-week high of $3,403 (52-week low $1,506).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($2,004) and above the 50-day ($1,864) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.04, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 51.99% annualized, the 64th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.

Structure (90 days): range $1,506 – $2,334; the most-touched level is $1,867 (19 touches).

+19.69%

+17.9%

-32.23%

FROM 52W HIGH

-33.8%

03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the Bitcoin by 9.54% over the last month (-7.58% over the year); 90-day beta 1.42, correlation 0.89.

1M VS BITCOIN

+9.54%

1Y RELATIVE

-7.58%

BETA 90D

1.42

CORR 90D

0.89

04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 53.27% (2026-01-14 → 2026-06-25); price now sits 32.85% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -14.96% (2026-02-05).

MAX DD 1Y

-53.27%

FROM 1Y PEAK

-32.85%

BEST DAY

+17.46%

WORST DAY

-14.96%

05Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 50% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior momentum.

Positioning: 2.97 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 54.55% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 62 (Greed), 7-day average 40.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

06Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+17.9%) runs against the 1-year trend (-32.23%).

Trading 33.8% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

07In the air — headlines, not causes

· Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH jumps 18%, sparks over $1 billion in liquidations — FXStreet · 16h ago
· Bitcoin Hits $69,000, Ethereum Goes on 20% Bull Rampage, XRP, SOL Pump 10% on Historic Crypto Day — Yahoo Finance · 19h ago
· Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Thursday, August 20, 2026: Crypto prices surge after President Trump pushes for Clarity Act — Yahoo Finance · 1h ago
· Why BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Is Up 13.1% After Targeting 5% of All Ethereum – And What's Next — Yahoo Finance · 1h ago
· Ethereum engineering firm Nethermind leaves LayerZero verifier role for Chainlink — The Block · 24h ago

08What would change this read

· The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $2,004.
· The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 64th percentile).
· The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the Bitcoin (now +9.54%) changes sign.
· nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data