US 10Y Treasury yield 4.71% -0.21%
US 10Y Treasury yield closed at 4.71% (-0.21% on the day). Over the last month it is +2.39%, over the last year +9.79%. It sits 0.84% below the 52-week high of 4.75% (52-week low 3.97%).
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
- · 4.72% → 4.71% (-0.21% since v4)
- · volatility regime normal → quiet (21th pct)
US 10Y Treasury yield closed at 4.71% (-0.21% on the day). Over the last month it is +2.39%, over the last year +9.79%. It sits 0.84% below the 52-week high of 4.75% (52-week low 3.97%).
Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average (4.33%) and above the 50-day (4.58%) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.72, direction up.
Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 14.03% annualized, the 21th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans mean reverting.
Structure (90 days): range 4.26% – 4.75%; the most-touched level is 4.47% (30 touches).
Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 8.53% (2025-08-18 → 2025-10-22); price now sits 0.84% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -2.2% (2026-06-11).
The tape leans constructive: 48% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior mean reverting.
Positioning: 1.59 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 1.67% from the all-time high of this series.
computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
The 1-month move (+2.39%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+9.79%).
Trading within 0.84% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.
analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead
- · Treasury yields rebound, wiping out the decline following Bessent's intervention — CNBC · 7h ago
- · Bond yields fall after Treasury announces surprise move to ease rising rates — NBC News · 20h ago
- · U.S. government debt yields are surging at a bad time. Here's what's behind the move — CNBC · 47h ago
- · Yields pull back from multi-year highs after Treasury Department says it will double government debt repurchase size — CNBC · 32h ago
- · Bond yields are climbing. Here’s what that means for mortgages and other consumer borrowing — CNBC · 47h ago
- · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at 4.33%.
- · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 21th percentile).
- · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data