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REPORT · NVDA v3· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 3
v3 · 2026-08-18
ARCHIVED VERSION

NVIDIA $219.74 -2.34%

stock · data as of 2026-08-18 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

NVIDIA closed at $219.74 (-2.34% on the day). Over the last month it is +8.1%, over the last year +21.94%. It sits 6.68% below the 52-week high of $235.47 (52-week low $164.98).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v3 vs v2
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

NVIDIA closed at $219.74 (-2.34% on the day). Over the last month it is +8.1%, over the last year +21.94%. It sits 6.68% below the 52-week high of $235.47 (52-week low $164.98).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($194.93) and above the 50-day ($206.94) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.03, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 39.53% annualized, the 59th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $183.7 – $235.47; the most-touched level is $207.87 (24 touches).

1W
+1.03%
1M
+8.1%
1Y
+21.94%
FROM 52W HIGH
-6.68%
03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the S&P 500 by 4.76% over the last month (+2.68% over the year); 90-day beta 2.01, correlation 0.65.

1M VS S&P 500
+4.76%
1Y RELATIVE
+2.68%
BETA 90D
2.01
CORR 90D
0.65
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 20.21% (2025-10-29 → 2026-03-30); price now sits 6.68% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -6.2% (2026-06-05).

MAX DD 1Y
-20.21%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-6.68%
BEST DAY
+7.87%
WORST DAY
-6.2%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2022-01-30): revenue $26.91B (+61.4% YoY), net income $120.07B (446.11% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 44.84. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-04-26, filed 2026-05-20 (90 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-02-24 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$26.91B
REVENUE YOY
+61.4%
NET INCOME
$120.07B
NET MARGIN
446.11%
EPS (DILUTED)
$4.9
TRAILING P/E
44.84

latest 10-Q · period 2026-04-26 · filed 2026-05-20 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-02-24

06Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 51% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 1.11 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 6.68% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+8.1%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+21.94%).

Trading 6.68% below the 52-week high.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $194.93.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 59th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now +4.76%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 90 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$219.74-2.34%CONSTRUCTIVE