Microsoft $495.4 -0.3%
Microsoft closed at $495.4 (-0.3% on the day). Over the last month it is +23.51%, over the last year -4.08%. It sits 8.03% below the 52-week high of $538.66 (52-week low $352.83).
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
- · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
Microsoft closed at $495.4 (-0.3% on the day). Over the last month it is +23.51%, over the last year -4.08%. It sits 8.03% below the 52-week high of $538.66 (52-week low $352.83).
Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($431.32) and above the 50-day ($412.78) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.07, direction up.
Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 48.33% annualized, the 97th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.
Structure (90 days): range $352.83 – $506.06; the most-touched level is $391.67 (20 touches).
Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2026-06-30): revenue $331.84B (+17.79% YoY), gross margin 67.94%, operating margin 46.78%, net margin 40.31%, ROE 30.23%, ROIC 38.25% (EBIT basis), operating cash flow $182.94B, free cash flow $66.99B (1.82% yield), net cash position $36.55B (0.09 debt/equity), trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 27.6, revenue CAGR over the last 5 completed fiscal years: 13.74%. Source: SEC EDGAR.
The tape leans constructive: 53% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior momentum.
Positioning: 2.26 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 8.03% from the all-time high of this series.
computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys
Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.
The 1-month move (+23.51%) runs against the 1-year trend (-4.08%).
Trading 8.03% below the 52-week high.
analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead
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- · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $431.32.
- · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 97th percentile).
- · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
- · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data