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REPORT · JPM v4· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 4
v4 · 2026-08-19
ARCHIVED VERSION

JPMorgan $357.26 -1.65%

stock · data as of 2026-08-19 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

JPMorgan closed at $357.26 (-1.65% on the day). Over the last month it is +3.48%, over the last year +24.89%. It sits 2.17% below the 52-week high of $365.18 (52-week low $280.14).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $363.25 → $357.26 (-1.65% since v3)5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v4 vs v3
  • · $363.25 → $357.26 (-1.65% since v3)
02Technicals

JPMorgan closed at $357.26 (-1.65% on the day). Over the last month it is +3.48%, over the last year +24.89%. It sits 2.17% below the 52-week high of $365.18 (52-week low $280.14).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($313.38) and above the 50-day ($341.82) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.79, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 18.43% annualized, the 31th percentile of this asset's own history — a normal tape. Short-horizon behavior leans mean reverting.

Structure (90 days): range $294.37 – $365.18; the most-touched level is $311.4 (24 touches).

1W
-2.17%
1M
+3.48%
1Y
+24.89%
FROM 52W HIGH
-2.17%
03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the S&P 500 by 3.85% over the last month (+8.18% over the year); 90-day beta 0.33, correlation 0.2.

1M VS S&P 500
+3.85%
1Y RELATIVE
+8.18%
BETA 90D
0.33
CORR 90D
0.2
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 15.47% (2026-01-06 → 2026-03-27); price now sits 2.17% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -4.66% (2025-12-09).

MAX DD 1Y
-15.47%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-2.17%
BEST DAY
+3.95%
WORST DAY
-4.66%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-31): revenue $182.45B (+2.75% YoY), net income $57.05B (31.27% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 17.85. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-06 (13 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-02-12 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$182.45B
REVENUE YOY
+2.75%
NET INCOME
$57.05B
NET MARGIN
31.27%
EPS (DILUTED)
$20.02
TRAILING P/E
17.85

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-06 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-02-12

06Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 58% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior mean reverting.

Positioning: 1.46 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 2.17% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+3.48%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+24.89%).

Trading within 2.17% of the 52-week high — priced near its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $313.38.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 31th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now +3.85%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 13 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$357.26-1.65%CONSTRUCTIVE