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REPORT · BTC v1· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 1
v1 · 2026-08-14
ARCHIVED VERSION

Bitcoin $63,011 -0.76%

crypto · data as of 2026-08-14 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Bitcoin closed at $63,011 (-0.76% on the day). Over the last month it is -1.76%, over the last year -29.46%. It sits 35.65% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version2 invalidation conditions stated — section 06
01What changed — v1
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

Bitcoin closed at $63,011 (-0.76% on the day). Over the last month it is -1.76%, over the last year -29.46%. It sits 35.65% below the 52-week high of $97,924 (52-week low $57,800).

Trend: price is BELOW the 200-day average ($69,543) and below the 50-day ($63,506) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.31, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 18.37% annualized, the 3th percentile of this asset's own history — a quiet tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.

Structure (90 days): range $57,800 – $78,600; the most-touched level is $64,095 (40 touches).

1W
-2.91%
1M
-1.76%
1Y
-29.46%
FROM 52W HIGH
-35.65%
03Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 44% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior momentum.

Positioning: 0.53 standard deviations below the 90-day mean, 50.07% from the all-time high of this series.

Crypto Fear & Greed: 29 (Fear), 7-day average 29.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

04Consensus read

Price sits below both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is negative on both horizons.

The 1-month move (-1.76%) agrees with the 1-year trend (-29.46%).

Trading 35.65% below the 52-week high — deeply repriced from its best.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

05In the air — headlines, not causes
  • · XRP price: Cluster of headwinds gang up on bitcoin and wider crypto market CoinDesk · 9h ago
  • · Hyperscale Data sells 685 bitcoin for $43 million to fund Michigan data center The Block · 3h ago
  • · Michael Saylor's Strategy Is Selling Bitcoin Again. Here's Why I'm Still Bullish on Bitcoin. Yahoo Finance · 6h ago
  • · Bring Bitcoin mining to your desktop for just $49.99 Mashable · 18h ago
  • · Skip the Bitcoin: Folsom residents surveyed want East Bidwell, Hwy. 50 traffic fixed Sacramento Bee · 2h ago
06What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close above the 200-day average at $69,543.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 3th percentile).
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$63,011-0.76%NEGATIVE