PAKUP·AI

LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 4

v4 · 2026-08-19

ARCHIVED VERSION

Amazon $265.84 +2.46%

stock · data as of 2026-08-19 · computed, sourced, never predicted

00Executive summary

Amazon closed at $265.84 (+2.46% on the day). Over the last month it is +7.39%, over the last year +14.84%. It sits 6.4% below the 52-week high of $284.02 (52-week low $198.79).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $259.45 → $265.84 (+2.46% since v3)5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09

01What changed — v4 vs v3

· $259.45 → $265.84 (+2.46% since v3)

02Technicals

Amazon closed at $265.84 (+2.46% on the day). Over the last month it is +7.39%, over the last year +14.84%. It sits 6.4% below the 52-week high of $284.02 (52-week low $198.79).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($238.22) and above the 50-day ($249) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.02, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 50.93% annualized, the 90th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.

Structure (90 days): range $226.65 – $284.02; the most-touched level is $248.88 (26 touches).

-0.54%

+7.39%

+14.84%

FROM 52W HIGH

-6.4%

03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the S&P 500 by 0.44% over the last month (-6.96% over the year); 90-day beta 1.37, correlation 0.46.

1M VS S&P 500

+0.44%

1Y RELATIVE

-6.96%

BETA 90D

1.37

CORR 90D

0.46

04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 21.74% (2025-11-03 → 2026-02-13); price now sits 6.4% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -5.55% (2026-02-06).

MAX DD 1Y

-21.74%

FROM 1Y PEAK

-6.4%

BEST DAY

+15.32%

WORST DAY

-5.55%

05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-31): revenue $716.92B (+12.38% YoY), net income $77.67B (10.83% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 37.08. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-07-31 (19 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-02-05 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE

$716.92B

REVENUE YOY

+12.38%

NET INCOME

$77.67B

NET MARGIN

10.83%

EPS (DILUTED)

$7.17

TRAILING P/E

37.08

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-07-31 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-02-05

06Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 48% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior momentum.

Positioning: 0.81 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 6.4% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+7.39%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+14.84%).

Trading 6.4% below the 52-week high.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes

· Amazon Stock (AMZN) Jumps as Drone Delivery Expands to 500 Cities — TipRanks · 6h ago
· Amazon’s Stock Could Hit $500 by End of 2027. Why AWS Revenue Is the Key. — Barron's · 52h ago
· Morgan Stanley resets Amazon stock price target after earnings — thestreet.com · 47h ago
· What's Going On With Amazon Stock Monday? — Benzinga · 53h ago
· Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) Stock Price Up 2.5% - Here's Why — MarketBeat · 1h ago

09What would change this read

· The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $238.22.
· The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 90th percentile).
· The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now +0.44%) changes sign.
· A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 19 days old.
· The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
· nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data