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REPORT · AMZN v2· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 2
v2 · 2026-08-17
ARCHIVED VERSION

Amazon $261.31 -0.51%

stock · data as of 2026-08-17 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Amazon closed at $261.31 (-0.51% on the day). Over the last month it is +5.7%, over the last year +13.13%. It sits 8% below the 52-week high of $284.02 (52-week low $198.79).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — first committed version5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v2 vs v1
  • · first committed version — nothing to diff against yet
02Technicals

Amazon closed at $261.31 (-0.51% on the day). Over the last month it is +5.7%, over the last year +13.13%. It sits 8% below the 52-week high of $284.02 (52-week low $198.79).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($237.86) and above the 50-day ($248.32) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.01, direction up.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 50.6% annualized, the 90th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans momentum.

Structure (90 days): range $221.25 – $284.02; the most-touched level is $248.88 (26 touches).

1W
-6.03%
1M
+5.7%
1Y
+13.13%
FROM 52W HIGH
-8%
03Relative performance

Relative: outperformed the S&P 500 by 1.77% over the last month (-3.44% over the year); 90-day beta 1.41, correlation 0.48.

1M VS S&P 500
+1.77%
1Y RELATIVE
-3.44%
BETA 90D
1.41
CORR 90D
0.48
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 21.74% (2025-11-03 → 2026-02-13); price now sits 8% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -5.55% (2026-02-06).

MAX DD 1Y
-21.74%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-8%
BEST DAY
+15.32%
WORST DAY
-5.55%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-12-31): revenue $716.92B (+12.38% YoY), net income $77.67B (10.83% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 36.44. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-30, filed 2026-07-31 (17 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2027-02-05 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$716.92B
REVENUE YOY
+12.38%
NET INCOME
$77.67B
NET MARGIN
10.83%
EPS (DILUTED)
$7.17
TRAILING P/E
36.44

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-07-31 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2027-02-05

06Sentiment

The tape leans constructive: 49% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction up, short-horizon behavior momentum.

Positioning: 0.52 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 8% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (+5.7%) agrees with the 1-year trend (+13.13%).

Trading 8% below the 52-week high.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $237.86.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 90th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now +1.77%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 17 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$261.31-0.51%CONSTRUCTIVE