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REPORT · AAPL v4· ARCHIVED
PAKUP·AI
LIVING REPORT · REPORT NO. 4
v4 · 2026-08-19
ARCHIVED VERSION

Apple $316.83 +2.19%

stock · data as of 2026-08-19 · computed, sourced, never predicted
00Executive summary

Apple closed at $316.83 (+2.19% on the day). Over the last month it is -3.25%, over the last year +37.73%. It sits 6.76% below the 52-week high of $339.79 (52-week low $224.07).

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

latest change — $310.03 → $316.83 (+2.19% since v3)5 invalidation conditions stated — section 09
01What changed — v4 vs v3
  • · $310.03 → $316.83 (+2.19% since v3)
02Technicals

Apple closed at $316.83 (+2.19% on the day). Over the last month it is -3.25%, over the last year +37.73%. It sits 6.76% below the 52-week high of $339.79 (52-week low $224.07).

Trend: price is ABOVE the 200-day average ($280.61) and above the 50-day ($309.21) — trend strength (R², 90d) 0.57, direction sideways.

Volatility: 30-day realized vol is 32% annualized, the 82th percentile of this asset's own history — a loud tape. Short-horizon behavior leans no clear_bias.

Structure (90 days): range $258.37 – $339.79; the most-touched level is $309.15 (24 touches).

1W
+4.82%
1M
-3.25%
1Y
+37.73%
FROM 52W HIGH
-6.76%
03Relative performance

Relative: lagged the S&P 500 by 8.33% over the last month (+15.1% over the year); 90-day beta 0.42, correlation 0.18.

1M VS S&P 500
-8.33%
1Y RELATIVE
+15.1%
BETA 90D
0.42
CORR 90D
0.18
04Risk

Risk: the deepest drawdown of the last year was 13.8% (2025-12-02 → 2026-01-20); price now sits 6.76% below the trailing-year peak. Worst single session: -7.35% (2026-07-31).

MAX DD 1Y
-13.8%
FROM 1Y PEAK
-6.76%
BEST DAY
+4.84%
WORST DAY
-7.35%
05Fundamentals

Fundamentals (latest annual filing, 2025-09-27): revenue $416.16B (+6.43% YoY), net income $112.01B (26.92% margin). Trailing P/E on annual diluted EPS: 42.47. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Filed record: latest 10-Q covers the period ending 2026-06-27, filed 2026-07-31 (19 days ago). Next annual filing estimated around 2026-10-30 from this issuer's own cadence — an estimate, not a date.

REVENUE
$416.16B
REVENUE YOY
+6.43%
NET INCOME
$112.01B
NET MARGIN
26.92%
EPS (DILUTED)
$7.46
TRAILING P/E
42.47

latest 10-Q · period 2026-06-27 · filed 2026-07-31 on EDGAR ↗ · next annual est. ~2026-10-30

06Sentiment

The tape leans neutral: 56% of the last 90 sessions closed up, direction sideways, short-horizon behavior no clear bias.

Positioning: 0.86 standard deviations above the 90-day mean, 6.76% from the all-time high of this series.

computed from price action, not from opinions or positioning surveys

07Consensus read

Price holds above both the 50-day and 200-day averages — the market's own trend vote is constructive on both horizons.

The 1-month move (-3.25%) runs against the 1-year trend (+37.73%).

Trading 6.76% below the 52-week high.

analyst-rating feeds are licensed; this section reads the market's own positioning instead

08In the air — headlines, not causes
09What would change this read
  • · The trend read flips on a daily close below the 200-day average at $280.61.
  • · The volatility read changes if realized vol leaves its current regime (now the 82th percentile).
  • · The relative read flips if the 1-month spread vs the S&P 500 (now -8.33%) changes sign.
  • · A new filing supersedes the fundamental read — the latest one is 19 days old.
  • · The fundamental read updates on the next 10-K/10-Q filing — annual figures can be three quarters stale between filings.
  • · nothing here is a prediction or advice — it is a computed description of end-of-day data
$316.83+2.19%CONSTRUCTIVE